Monday, October 20, 2008

Why Obama/McCain Will Win

WHY OBAMA WILL WIN


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Change, change, change

It’s the economy, stupid!

Incumbent parties are usually voted out of office during economic turmoil

The Great Crash of 2008

The mainstream Media

Tina Fey and Saturday Night Live

Hollywood

Minority voters

The Youth Vote

Early voters

Organization

Governor Palin will soon learn, as Senator Clinton discovered in Iowa, what a
community organizer does

Voter fraud

The most extensive voter fraud since 1960

Charisma

Coolness

Excitement

Unified party








WHY McCAIN WILL WIN

Joe the Plumber

If McCain wins, Joe’s the reason

Sarah Palin

Talk Radio

Inherent conservatism of the American electorate

Experience

Trustworthiness

Enthusiasm

Racism/The Bradley Effect (cf. Congressman John Murtha)

McCain closes well

Obama has trouble closing; he lost 11 of the last 13 Democratic primary contests to
Senator Clinton

Obama should be ahead by 25 points at this stage, but has trouble polling above 50%

The vote often tightens as the election draws near

Money doesn’t always buy votes, unless it’s street or walking around money

Fear

Fear of Obama

Fear of the inexperienced

Fear of the unknown

Fear of the untested

Too many of these are negative reasons to win, but the American people are looking for assurance in this time of uncertainty

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