WHY OBAMA WILL WIN
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Change, change, change
It’s the economy, stupid!
Incumbent parties are usually voted out of office during economic turmoil
The Great Crash of 2008
The mainstream Media
Tina Fey and Saturday Night Live
Hollywood
Minority voters
The Youth Vote
Early voters
Organization
Governor Palin will soon learn, as Senator Clinton discovered in Iowa, what a
community organizer does
Voter fraud
The most extensive voter fraud since 1960
Charisma
Coolness
Excitement
Unified party
WHY McCAIN WILL WIN
Joe the Plumber
If McCain wins, Joe’s the reason
Sarah Palin
Talk Radio
Inherent conservatism of the American electorate
Experience
Trustworthiness
Enthusiasm
Racism/The Bradley Effect (cf. Congressman John Murtha)
McCain closes well
Obama has trouble closing; he lost 11 of the last 13 Democratic primary contests to
Senator Clinton
Obama should be ahead by 25 points at this stage, but has trouble polling above 50%
The vote often tightens as the election draws near
Money doesn’t always buy votes, unless it’s street or walking around money
Fear
Fear of Obama
Fear of the inexperienced
Fear of the unknown
Fear of the untested
Too many of these are negative reasons to win, but the American people are looking for assurance in this time of uncertainty
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