Thursday, July 16, 2015

Munich Redux

Reflections on the Iran Agreement The triumph of delusion over reality Iran was in a weak bargaining position because of the sanctions. The United States was in a strong bargaining position. Therefore, the President and secretary of State bargained from a position of weakness. Secretary of State Kerry would propose. Iran would replay in the negative. The Secretary of State would concede The Munich Agreement excluded the most effected country, Czechoslovakia. The Vienna Accords between Iran, the United States, United Kingdom, China, France, Germany and Russia excluded the country most at risk, Israel. The Jewish Democrats in Congress are on the horns of a dilemma: Side with the President for Party Loyalty or Side with Israel, which they realize is in mortal danger. President Obama has always been sympathetic to the Mullahs of Iran and hostile to Israel. The economic sanctions will be lifted by the end of the year, thereby removing any leverage over Iran over the next decade. Once lifted, the sanctions will not be reimposed. The other nations are salivating over restoring commercial relations with Iran The President sent his national security staff to talk to Congress. Susan Rice, with absolutely no background in national security, has proven herself to be incompetent. Her assistant Ben Rhodes is a political hack. They will sway no one on Capitol Hill. Ben Rhodes in April said a condition would be “anytime, anywhere” inspections. He denied that a few days ago Iran is a proven cheater. President Obama admires President Reagan, but forget the famous admonition: “Trust, but Verify.” Any quick inspection right will be to the “declared” sites; that is, the known ones. The problem is with the secret sites. Iran will dismantle no centrifuges or nuclear facilities, but can replace its old centrifuges with newer, more efficient ones. The devil is in the details of the 109 page agreement and five annexes. President Obama said “Inspectors will have 24/7 access to Iran’s key nuclear facilities.” Sound familiar? If you like your doctor, you can keep your doctor If you like your health insurer, you can keep your health insurer We have shovel ready jobs ready Iran will remain the center of state sponsored terrorism The Shi’a Iran will try even harder to exert its will over the Sunni Arab nations

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